Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009122 0.010259 0.011508 0.012984 0.014689 0.016600 0.018915
2025-05-04 0.007307 0.008826 0.010640 0.012985 0.015960 0.019642 0.024598
2025-05-11 0.006350 0.008037 0.010167 0.013089 0.017047 0.022303 0.029942
2025-05-18 0.005590 0.007335 0.009637 0.012950 0.017681 0.024334 0.034651
2025-05-25 0.005093 0.006895 0.009364 0.013068 0.018613 0.026829 0.040351
2025-06-01 0.004625 0.006429 0.008982 0.012950 0.019143 0.028751 0.045435
2025-06-08 0.004146 0.005893 0.008430 0.012499 0.019076 0.029695 0.049028
2025-06-15 0.003866 0.005615 0.008226 0.012542 0.019772 0.031931 0.055176
2025-06-22 0.003723 0.005527 0.008294 0.013013 0.021212 0.035601 0.064567
2025-06-29 0.003441 0.005197 0.007948 0.012758 0.021366 0.037003 0.069849
2025-07-06 0.003185 0.004887 0.007606 0.012468 0.021413 0.038196 0.074904
2025-07-13 0.003007 0.004688 0.007427 0.012441 0.021928 0.040338 0.082346
2025-07-20 0.002910 0.004623 0.007481 0.012864 0.023403 0.044714 0.095983
2025-07-27 0.002747 0.004437 0.007315 0.012869 0.024080 0.047602 0.106966
2025-08-03 0.002617 0.004294 0.007209 0.012972 0.024959 0.051058 0.120204
2025-08-10 0.002464 0.004099 0.006992 0.012834 0.025312 0.053387 0.131110
2025-08-17 0.002360 0.003984 0.006909 0.012951 0.026224 0.057167 0.147021
2025-08-24 0.002235 0.003820 0.006722 0.012835 0.026602 0.059722 0.160135
2025-08-31 0.002080 0.003591 0.006393 0.012388 0.026167 0.060175 0.167009
2025-09-07 0.001995 0.003487 0.006298 0.012431 0.026883 0.063721 0.184786
2025-09-14 0.001963 0.003481 0.006394 0.012897 0.028682 0.070501 0.215671
2025-09-21 0.001857 0.003325 0.006177 0.012644 0.028665 0.072253 0.229464
2025-09-28 0.001756 0.003171 0.005954 0.012358 0.028526 0.073637 0.242411